These are +EV value bets, not locked arbitrage.
An edge means the soft book is offering more than Pinnacle's de-vigged fair price —
it pays over many bets, and any single one usually loses. Placement is manual on both
books (HRB is geo-locked to Florida; Winamax sits behind a captcha).
Match confidence is shown: low-scoring matches are recorded for paper trading but not alerted.
Current edges
Pinnacle fair price vs the soft book's live price. Age is how stale Pinnacle's
data was — the guest API is CDN-cached for up to ~15 minutes, so anything above ~900s is suspect.
| Book | League | Fixture | Selection |
Soft | Fair | Edge |
Conf | Seen | Pin age | Starts |
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Paper trades
Every edge is logged as a notional bet and graded two ways.
CLV asks whether the soft book moved towards Pinnacle by kickoff —
positive means the read was right and you were early. It needs no results and is the
usable signal first. Settled P/L is the ground truth, but needs hundreds of bets to mean anything.
| Logged | Fixture | Selection |
Entry | Close |
Edge | CLV | P/L |
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